Precision Forecasting for
Global Automotive
Production & Sales
Multi-scenario forecasts spanning 2024–2030, covering 50+ markets, 200+ OEMs, and every major vehicle segment — empowering strategic decisions with data-driven clarity.
Comprehensive Coverage Across the Value Chain
From macro-level market volumes to granular supply chain risk — our forecasting engine delivers actionable intelligence at every level.
Global Market Volume
Total industry production and sales forecasts by year, quarter, and month — covering passenger vehicles, commercial vehicles, and off-highway equipment across all major markets.
OEM Capacity Planning
Factory-level capacity utilization forecasts, platform rollout timelines, and model changeover schedules for 200+ OEMs — identify expansion, consolidation, and relocation trends before they happen.
Model Segment Analysis
Segment-level forecasts for sedan, SUV, MPV, pickup, light commercial, and heavy truck categories — track shifting consumer preferences and identify fastest-growing segments by region.
Regional Trends
Country-level and regional market dynamics — policy impacts, trade flow shifts, localization trends, and demand pattern evolution across China, North America, Europe, Japan, South Korea, India, and Southeast Asia.
NEV Penetration Forecast
BEV, PHEV, and FCEV adoption curves by market, segment, and price band — battery cost trajectories, charging infrastructure buildout, and policy-driven demand inflection points through 2030.
Supply Chain Risk
Critical supply chain vulnerability assessments — semiconductor availability, battery raw material constraints, logistics bottlenecks, and geopolitical risk factors that could disrupt production forecasts.
Global NEV Sales Data & Forecast (2020–2030)
2020–2025 actual registrations (IEA); 2026–2030 baseline forecast (million units)
| Region | 2020 Actual | 2021 Actual | 2022 Actual | 2023 Actual | 2024 Actual | 2025 Actual | 2026 Forecast | 2028 Forecast | 2030 Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 1.2 | 3.3 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 11.0 | 13.5 | 15.5 | 18.5 | 21.0 |
| Europe (EU+UK) | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 7.5 |
| North America | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| Rest of World | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 5.7 |
| Global Total | 3.0 | 6.6 | 11.3 | 14.0 | 17.5 | 20.0 | 24.5 | 31.3 | 39.0 |
Major Markets at a Glance
Production and sales outlook for key automotive markets through 2030.
China
2030 Sales Forecast: 37.5M units
CAGR 2024–30: +3.8%
NEV Share 2030: 62.8%
China remains the world's largest and most dynamic automotive market. NEV adoption is driven by cost parity achievement, extensive charging infrastructure, and strong domestic OEM competition. ICE vehicle sales continue gradual decline.
Europe (EU+UK)
2030 Sales Forecast: 19.2M units
CAGR 2024–30: +2.9%
NEV Share 2030: 58.4%
Europe's CO2 regulations and 2035 ICE ban drive rapid electrification. Market growth is moderate but structurally shifting toward BEVs. German, French, and Nordic markets lead adoption; Southern and Eastern Europe lag.
North America
2030 Sales Forecast: 17.6M units
CAGR 2024–30: +1.2%
NEV Share 2030: 42.6%
IRA incentives and state-level ZEV mandates accelerate US NEV adoption. Pickup truck electrification is a key growth vector. Market overall is mature with modest volume growth but significant structural change.
Japan
2030 Sales Forecast: 6.3M units
CAGR 2024–30: +1.8%
NEV Share 2030: 28.5%
Japan's market is characterized by slow but steady NEV adoption, led by domestic OEMs. Hybrids remain dominant in the near term. Kei car segment shows limited electrification. Export-oriented production adds complexity to domestic forecasts.
India
2030 Sales Forecast: 10.2M units
CAGR 2024–30: +7.2%
NEV Share 2030: 18.6%
India is the fastest-growing major market by volume. Two-wheeler and three-wheeler electrification leads adoption. Four-wheeler NEVs are nascent but accelerating with new model launches and government PLI scheme incentives.
Southeast Asia
2030 Sales Forecast: 7.0M units
CAGR 2024–30: +8.5%
NEV Share 2030: 15.8%
Thailand, Indonesia, and Vietnam are emerging as regional automotive hubs. Chinese OEM investment is driving NEV market creation. Two-wheeler electrification is particularly strong. Policy frameworks are evolving rapidly to attract investment.
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